ANALISIS KINERJA SAHAM ANTM DAN INCO SERTA HARGA KOMODITAS EMAS SEBELUM DAN SESUDAH PERANG RUSIA-UKRAINA
Abstract
The Russia-Ukraine war has created uncertainty in the world economic situation, including Indonesia. This economic uncertainty has encouraged people to tend to make safe economic decisions that do not have high risks. Gold commodities are one of the main choices for people to secure their assets because the value of gold is stable even in the midst of economic uncertainty. The increase in demand for gold commodities when economic certainty occurs will affect the selling price of gold commodities and the stock performance of metal and mineral mining companies. Therefore, this study aims to determine the effect of the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on the stock performance of metal and mineral mining companies and the price of gold commodities in Indonesia. The study was conducted quantitatively using PT Aneka Tambang Tbk (ANTM) and PT Vale Indonesia Tbk (INCO) as samples to determine the impact of the Russia-Ukraine war on the stock performance of metal and mineral mining companies in Indonesia. Gold commodities were selected as samples from the mining commodity population. The data used in this study were obtained by collecting secondary data sourced from the TradingView website and using SPSS software as an analysis tool. This study uses a different test method to determine the comparison of the performance of mining and mineral sector companies' stocks and gold commodity prices 3 months before and during the Russo-Ukrainian war. The results of the study indicate that there are significant and insignificant price differences before and during the Russo-Ukrainian war. The price difference between before and during the Russo-Ukrainian war indicates that there was an increase in prices after the peak of the Russo-Ukrainian war. This price difference indicates that the mining commodity sector was strongly affected by the war.
References
Ahmed, W.M.A. (2017), "The impact of political regime changes on stock prices: the case of Egypt", International Journal of Emerging Markets, Vol. 12 No. 3, pp. 508-531.
Al-Tamimi, H. A. H., Alwan, A. A., & Abdel Rahman, A. A. (2011). Factors affecting stock prices in the UAE financial markets. Journal of transnational management, 16(1), 3-19.
Barsky, R. B., & Summers, L. H. (1985). Gibson's paradox and the gold standard (No. w1680). National Bureau of Economic Research.
Bawono, O. D. J. (2023). PENERAPAN PRINSIP PEMBEDAAN (DISTINCTION PRINCIPLE) DALAM KONFLIK BERSENJATA ANTARA RUSIA DENGAN UKRAINA (Doctoral dissertation, Universitas Atma Jaya Yogyakarta).
Ben Hassen, T., & El Bilali, H. (2022). Impacts of the Russia-Ukraine war on global food security: towards more sustainable and resilient food systems?. Foods, 11(15), 2301.
Cahyakemala, S. R., & Putri, K. P. R. (2022). Konflik Ukraina Rusia Mempengaruhi Harga Saham Pertambangan Yang Disebabkan Perilaku Investor. Sociability: Social & Humaniora Journal, 1(1).
Changani, J. G. (2024). Factors Influencing Gold Price Movements: A Time Series Analysis Perspective. Available at SSRN 4815102.
Chiang, T.C. (2021), "Geopolitical risk, economic policy uncertainty and asset returns in Chinese financial markets", China Finance Review International, Vol. 11 No. 4, pp. 474-501.
Coleman, L. (2012), Explaining crude oil prices using fundamental measures. Energy Policy, 40, 318-324.
Hachicha, F. (2024). Sentiment investor, exchange rates, geopolitical risk and developing stock market: evidence of co-movements in the time-frequency domain during RussiaUkraine war. Review of Behavioral Finance, 16(3), 486–509.
Havidz, S. A. H., Rahmadani, N. P. I., & Tori, P. L. A. (2023). Gold and Cryptocurrency as Safe Haven Assets for Commodities, Stocks, and Bonds: Evidence from the Russia-Ukraine War. In E3S Web of Conferences (Vol. 426, p. 01082). EDP Sciences.
Heliana, E.(2022).IMF: Perang Ukraina Pengaruhi Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Global
Hoque, M. E., & Zaidi, M. A. S. (2020). Global and country-specific geopolitical risk uncertainty and stock return of fragile emerging economies. Borsa Istanbul Review, 20(3), 197-213.
Huy, D. T. N., Loan, B. T., & Anh, P. T. (2020). Impact of selected factors on stock price: a case study of Vietcombank in Vietnam. Entrepreneurship and Sustainability Issues, 7(4), 2715-2730.
Khairani, M., Perdana, F. W., Purboyo, P., Sidarta, D. B., & Surnata, S. (2021). Tinjauan Yuridis Kejahatan Perang Menurut Hukum Internasional. Jurnal Indonesia Sosial Sains, 2(12), 2126-2137.
Khudaykulova, M. et al. (2022). Economic Consequences and Implications of the Ukraine-Russia War. International Journal of Management Science and Business Administration
Kilian, L. (2014), Oil price shocks: Causes and consequences. Annual Review of Resource Economics, 6(1), 133-154
Mahena, Y., Rusli, M., & Winarso, E. (2015). Prediksi Harga Emas Dunia Sebagai Pendukung Keputusan Investasi Saham Emas Menggunakan Teknik Data Mining. Kalbiscentia J. Sains dan Teknol, 2(1), 36-51.
Marbath, S. M. S., & Suazhari, S. (2021). Studi perbandingan tingkat return dan risk antara investasi emas dan saham syariah. Proceeding Of National Conference On Accounting & Finance, 3, 42-55.
Morina, F., Misiri, V., Dinaj, S., & Grima, S. (2024). The impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine on Gold markets. Business, Management and Economics Engineering, 22(1), 17-32.
Oei, I. (2009). Kiat investasi valas, emas, saham. PT Gramedia Pustaka Utama.
Oktarianisa, Sefti. 2022. “Kronologi dan Latar Belakang Konflik Rusia dan Ukraina.”
Orhan, E. (2022). The Effects of the Russia -Ukraine War on Global Trade. Journal of International Trade, Logistics and Law. 8 (1) 141-146.
Ozili, P. K. (2024). Global economic consequences of Russian invasion of Ukraine. In Dealing With Regional Conflicts of Global Importance (pp. 195-223). IGI Global.
Rahmadewi, P. W., & Abundanti, N. (2018). Pengaruh Eps, Per, Cr Dan Roe Terhadap Harga Saham Di Bursa Efek Indonesia. E-Jurnal Manajemen Universitas Udayana, 7(4), 2106.
Rakhmayanti, I. (2022). Rusia-Ukraina yang Perang, Harga Pangan Dunia Beterbangan.
Rumyk, I., Kuzminsky, V., Pylypenko, O., & Yaroshenko, O. (2024). PRECIOUS METALS MARKET FORECASTING IN THE CURRENT ENVIRONMENT. Economics, Finance and Management Review, (1 (17)), 45-56.
Soebiantoro, U. (2021). Perdagangan Saham yang Paling Moncer dalam Masa Pandemi Covid 19. Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi Pembangunan, 15(01).
Suharto, F. T., & MM, S. (2013). Harga Emas Naik atau Turun, Kita Tetap Untung. Elex Media Komputindo.
Susilo, Y., & Kusumawati, R. (2018). Analisis Faktor-Faktor yang Mempengaruhi Return Saham Perusahaan Sektor Perbankan. Jurnal Bisnis dan Manajemen, 15(1).
Syarifuddin, A., & Hadi, S. (2016). Analisis Pengaruh Kinerja Keuangan terhadap Harga Saham pada Perusahaan Sektor Manufaktur yang Terdaftar di BEI. Jurnal Manajemen dan Kewirausahaan, 14(3).
Tarigan, J., Delia, M. and Hatane, S.E. (2024), "Impact of the Russia–Ukraine War: evidence from G20 countries", Studies in Economics and Finance
Wilson, A. (2014). Ukraine Crisis: What it Means for the West. Yale University Press.
Zainudin, A., & Nuraeni, D. (2021). Pengaruh Rasio Keuangan terhadap Harga Saham pada Perusahaan Manufaktur. Jurnal Akuntansi dan Keuangan, 9(4).

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Makalah yang disampaikan diasumsikan tidak mengandung bahan proprietary yang tidak dilindungi oleh hak paten atau aplikasi paten; tanggung jawab untuk konten teknis dan untuk perlindungan dari bahan proprietary merupakan tanggung jawab penulis dan organisasi mereka dan bukan tanggung jawab dari Jurnal Parsimonia atau Staff Pengelolanya. Penulis utama (pertama/yang sesuai) bertanggung jawab untuk memastikan bahwa artikel tersebut telah dilihat dan disetujui oleh semua penulis lain. Hal ini merupakan tanggung jawab penulis untuk mendapatkan semua izin pelepasan hak cipta yang diperlukan untuk penggunaan setiap materi dalam naskah sebelum pengajuan.